Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000179 0.000199 0.000220 0.000245 0.000273 0.000303 0.000339
2025-03-02 0.000142 0.000170 0.000203 0.000244 0.000296 0.000358 0.000438
2025-03-09 0.000119 0.000150 0.000190 0.000243 0.000314 0.000405 0.000534
2025-03-16 0.000099 0.000131 0.000173 0.000233 0.000316 0.000431 0.000603
2025-03-23 0.000089 0.000122 0.000167 0.000234 0.000333 0.000476 0.000703
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000117 0.000166 0.000242 0.000360 0.000538 0.000836
2025-04-06 0.000074 0.000108 0.000158 0.000237 0.000365 0.000567 0.000922
2025-04-13 0.000065 0.000097 0.000145 0.000225 0.000357 0.000574 0.000973
2025-04-20 0.000061 0.000093 0.000142 0.000226 0.000371 0.000617 0.001090
2025-04-27 0.000057 0.000090 0.000141 0.000232 0.000392 0.000675 0.001243
2025-05-04 0.000053 0.000085 0.000137 0.000230 0.000399 0.000710 0.001358
2025-05-11 0.000050 0.000082 0.000134 0.000231 0.000413 0.000758 0.001505
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000077 0.000130 0.000229 0.000421 0.000797 0.001644
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000074 0.000127 0.000229 0.000434 0.000850 0.001827
2025-06-01 0.000041 0.000071 0.000123 0.000228 0.000445 0.000898 0.002008
2025-06-08 0.000037 0.000065 0.000116 0.000219 0.000436 0.000905 0.002091
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000063 0.000114 0.000220 0.000450 0.000963 0.002314
2025-06-22 0.000034 0.000062 0.000115 0.000228 0.000479 0.001060 0.002659
2025-06-29 0.000032 0.000059 0.000111 0.000223 0.000480 0.001089 0.002825
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000054 0.000103 0.000212 0.000464 0.001078 0.002878
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000053 0.000102 0.000213 0.000478 0.001140 0.003156
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000052 0.000102 0.000218 0.000501 0.001232 0.003550
2025-07-27 0.000026 0.000050 0.000099 0.000216 0.000507 0.001280 0.003814